Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 7.270059 8.507619 9.864860 11.460157 13.280069 15.287550 17.665505
2026-02-01 4.987489 6.593082 8.545056 11.075193 14.248341 18.074987 23.015338
2026-02-08 3.624959 5.294969 7.501439 10.591235 14.760469 20.139191 27.541600
2026-02-15 2.772163 4.414092 6.743199 10.223064 15.210343 22.005796 31.847554
2026-02-22 2.346451 4.021902 6.545649 10.525291 16.517866 25.052260 37.927388
2026-03-01 2.028386 3.717875 6.404357 10.848919 17.838709 28.183220 44.346944
2026-03-08 1.648038 3.232828 5.893416 10.509448 18.084242 29.719645 48.524024
2026-03-15 1.364764 2.855497 5.489466 10.266033 18.417065 31.369591 52.950509
2026-03-22 1.250394 2.762316 5.550341 10.794692 20.035418 35.129617 60.904642
2026-03-29 1.128724 2.630832 5.519068 11.148128 21.377052 38.530367 68.512270
2026-04-05 0.984936 2.426352 5.319255 11.164191 22.119926 40.980959 74.719856
2026-04-12 0.850468 2.214791 5.072356 11.054718 22.613379 43.026423 80.366886
2026-04-19 0.703895 1.956326 4.712771 10.723985 22.746689 44.600342 85.592603
2026-04-26 0.583506 1.733878 4.396647 10.447331 22.973221 46.400309 91.442139
2026-05-03 0.472729 1.506572 4.028007 10.004227 22.816423 47.477400 96.077370
2026-05-10 0.387871 1.324189 3.726871 9.657368 22.802598 48.801420 101.241237
2026-05-17 0.350311 1.264955 3.710375 9.945379 24.135872 52.809101 111.704671
2026-05-24 0.318182 1.213413 3.703685 10.253306 25.539182 57.056569 122.910934
2026-05-31 0.264006 1.076855 3.450007 9.930462 25.517968 58.441662 128.645177
2026-06-07 0.222009 0.967070 3.246489 9.698992 25.670342 60.181273 135.185278
2026-06-14 0.209691 0.957987 3.325576 10.201758 27.570511 65.707099 149.705815
2026-06-21 0.193216 0.928849 3.340881 10.537963 29.107561 70.567586 163.162791
2026-06-28 0.169932 0.865995 3.242612 10.553244 29.869867 73.807942 173.461124